Sharon Bertsch McGrayne's The Theory That Would Not Die: How Bayes' Rule Cracked the PDF

By Sharon Bertsch McGrayne

Bayes' rule seems to be an easy, one-line theorem: by way of updating our preliminary ideals with target new details, we get a brand new and enhanced trust. To its adherents, it's a sublime assertion approximately studying from adventure. To its rivals, it really is subjectivity run amok.In the first-ever account of Bayes' rule for basic readers, Sharon Bertsch McGrayne explores this arguable theorem and the human obsessions surrounding it. She strains its discovery via an novice mathematician within the 1740s via its improvement into approximately its sleek shape by means of French scientist Pierre Simon Laplace. She finds why revered statisticians rendered it professionally taboo for a hundred and fifty years even as that practitioners trusted it to resolve crises concerning nice uncertainty and scanty details, even breaking Germany's Enigma code in the course of international conflict II, and explains how the appearance of off-the-shelf laptop know-how within the Eighties proved to be a game-changer. at the present time, Bayes' rule is used in all places from DNA de-coding to fatherland Security.Drawing on fundamental resource fabric and interviews with statisticians and different scientists, the speculation that will now not Die is the riveting account of ways a probably basic theorem ignited one of many maximum controversies of all time.

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The Theory That Would Not Die: How Bayes' Rule Cracked the Enigma Code, Hunted Down Russian Submarines, and Emerged Triumphant from Two Centuries of Controversy by Sharon Bertsch McGrayne


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